Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.097493 0.115654 0.135996 0.160433 0.188953 0.221148 0.260208
2025-02-09 0.069245 0.092494 0.121492 0.160152 0.210163 0.272476 0.355784
2025-02-16 0.053694 0.078820 0.112935 0.162273 0.231368 0.324188 0.457716
2025-02-23 0.044722 0.071027 0.109344 0.168589 0.257094 0.383421 0.576122
2025-03-02 0.035585 0.060688 0.099641 0.163575 0.264704 0.416952 0.661385
2025-03-09 0.029861 0.054278 0.094364 0.163724 0.279085 0.461025 0.766382
2025-03-16 0.024969 0.048177 0.088329 0.161282 0.288354 0.497464 0.862875
2025-03-23 0.022069 0.044952 0.086467 0.165285 0.308360 0.552867 0.995671
2025-03-30 0.018948 0.040689 0.081989 0.163795 0.318298 0.592037 1.104909
2025-04-06 0.016097 0.036386 0.076685 0.159838 0.322962 0.622090 1.200906
2025-04-13 0.013593 0.032305 0.071116 0.154427 0.323940 0.645201 1.286278
2025-04-20 0.012289 0.030558 0.069955 0.157568 0.341737 0.701128 1.438088
2025-04-27 0.011011 0.028671 0.068291 0.159608 0.357957 0.756529 1.596362
2025-05-04 0.009779 0.026660 0.066049 0.160100 0.371077 0.807380 1.751466
2025-05-11 0.008833 0.025163 0.064721 0.162399 0.388297 0.868269 1.933087
2025-05-18 0.008243 0.024464 0.065145 0.168763 0.415217 0.952022 2.170409
2025-05-25 0.007107 0.022068 0.061046 0.163753 0.415624 0.979210 2.290369
2025-06-01 0.006379 0.020653 0.059176 0.163904 0.428032 1.033764 2.475037
2025-06-08 0.005629 0.019015 0.056449 0.161460 0.433839 1.074025 2.631767
2025-06-15 0.005228 0.018344 0.056214 0.165468 0.456015 1.153937 2.886136
2025-06-22 0.004668 0.017058 0.054052 0.163976 0.464062 1.201500 3.069981
2025-06-29 0.004097 0.015603 0.051157 0.160015 0.465171 1.232491 3.217520
2025-07-06 0.003556 0.014123 0.047927 0.154598 0.461677 1.251775 3.338557